[Draft BIP] Quantum-Resistant Transition Framework for Bitcoin

Aug 7 - Aug 9, 2025

  • The recent paper by Craig Gidney from Google Quantum AI has sparked considerable discussion in the cryptographic community regarding the potential for quantum computers to break RSA-2048 encryption within a feasible timeframe, specifically with around a million noisy qubits in about a week.

This development underscores the urgency for transitioning to quantum-resistant cryptographic methods, particularly given the theoretical nature of current quantum computing capabilities which do not yet align with the practical requirements for breaking such encryption schemes. Despite these advancements, the feasibility of applying similar quantum computational strategies to compromise ECDSA remains uncertain, although concerns have been raised about its quantum resistance compared to RSA-2048. The suggestion to adopt post-quantum addresses and deactivate certain pre-quantum UTXOs reflects a cautious approach towards securing digital assets against future quantum threats.

In response to the evolving quantum landscape, a detailed proposal outlines a framework for enhancing Bitcoin's quantum resilience. This includes adopting quantum-resistant cryptographic algorithms like SLH-DSA-SHAKE-256f, which has garnered approval from NIST for its robust security features. Despite criticisms regarding the understanding of quantum computational requirements and the proposed signature sizes, the initiative emphasizes the need for a gradual transition to safeguard the Bitcoin network against quantum vulnerabilities. Key phases of the proposal involve soft-fork activation of quantum-resistant witness programs and the eventual freezing of classical UTXOs, highlighting a structured approach to maintain backward compatibility and minimize market disruption.

Critique of this proposal points out several misconceptions, notably the underestimated computational power required for quantum attacks on encryption standards and the misinterpretation of Shor's algorithm's complexity. Additionally, the critique addresses oversights in considering alternative cryptographic algorithms and the potential need for a hard fork due to proposed changes. Clarifications on the operation of SLH-DSA and the reliance on an outdated implementation module further underline areas for improvement. The feedback suggests a collaborative engagement with ongoing efforts to develop a secure, quantum-resistant Bitcoin protocol, emphasizing the importance of comprehensive review and dialogue within the community.

The collective discourse surrounding quantum-resistant cryptography for Bitcoin reflects a proactive stance against the anticipated challenges posed by quantum computing advancements. While theoretical at present, the possibility of quantum attacks on current cryptographic standards necessitates a forward-looking strategy to ensure the long-term security of digital assets. The dialogues emphasize the balance between advancing technological innovation and maintaining the integrity of cryptographic safeguards in an era marked by rapid quantum developments.

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